FXUS64 KOUN 111958
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
258 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.DISCUSSION...
COOL AND TRANQUIL WEATHER TONIGHT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY RECOVERY FOR
NEXT UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH INITIAL MOISTURE RETURN
WILL BE MEAGER...ADEQUATE RETURN EXPECTED BY LATE TUESDAY TO SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER. COLD FRONT AND DRY LINE PROGD TO PROGRESS THROUGH
REGION ON TUESDAY AS STRONG/HIGH-AMPLITUDE WAVE PROGRESSES ACROSS
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS. A PIECE OF THIS ENERGY ALSO FORECAST TO
CUTOFF AND SLOW DOWN OVER NEW MEXICO...WHICH WILL IMPACT HOW FAR
SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL MAKE IT. CURRENT MODEL TRENDS ARE PUSHING
THIS FRONT WELL SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WHICH WOULD KEEP POST-FRONTAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT WELL SOUTH
OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY. AS FAR AS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ON TUESDAY /MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING/ SUBSTANTIAL CAP PROGD TO BE IN PLACE...WHICH WILL LIKELY
LIMIT COVERAGE OF STORMS...OR SUPPRESS THEM ALTOGETHER.

UPPER TROUGH FORECAST TO RE-LOAD THURSDAY...WHICH WOULD KEEP OUN
FORECAST AREA IN A RELATIVELY COOL AND RAINY PATTERN. DRY FORECAST
FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND STILL APPEARS WARRANTED WITH BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  47  77  65  79 /   0   0  20  20
HOBART OK         47  83  62  81 /   0   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  49  84  65  85 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           45  87  54  73 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     45  78  61  72 /   0   0  20  20
DURANT OK         46  79  66  81 /   0   0  20  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/11