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<TITLE>Andrew Taylor's Meteorology Research</TITLE>

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<FONT size=10 color="red"><CENTER><B>Surface Temperature Forecasting Research</B></CENTER></FONT>

<P><FONT size=4 face="arial">This page will be updated periodically as more results are obtained.</FONT> 

<P><FONT size=3>Below is a link to a more detailed version of the poster I presented at the 2003 American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting in Long Beach, CA.  The poster discusses bias and absolute error statistics from NGM and AVN MOS forecasts for calendar year 2001 on a site-by-site basis.</FONT><BR><BR>

<FONT face="rockwell"><A HREF="ams2003.html">MOS verification poster</A></FONT>

<P><FONT size=3>Text files containing NGM and AVN bias and absolute error statistics for each site examined can be accessed below.</FONT><BR><BR> 

<TABLE cellspacing="25"><TR>
<TD><FONT size=3>12Z Temps</FONT><BR><BR>
    <A HREF="NGM12Zmean2001.txt">NGM 12Z temp forecasts</A><BR>
    <A HREF="AVN12Zmean2001.txt">AVN 12Z temp forecasts</A><BR>
<TD><FONT size=3>00Z Temps</FONT><BR><BR>
    <A HREF="NGM00Zmean2001.txt">NGM 00Z temp forecasts</A><BR>
    <A HREF="AVN00Zmean2001.txt">AVN 00Z temp forecasts</A><BR>
<TD><FONT size=3>Maximum Temps</FONT><BR><BR> 
    <A HREF="NGMmaxmean2001.txt">NGM max temp forecasts</A><BR>
    <A HREF="AVNmaxmean2001.txt">AVN max temp forecasts</A><BR>
<TD><FONT size=3>Minimum Temps</FONT><BR><BR>
    <A HREF="NGMminmean2001.txt">NGM min temp forecasts</A><BR>
    <A HREF="AVNminmean2001.txt">AVN min temp forecasts</A><BR>
</TR></TABLE>

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