Surface Temperature Forecasting Research

This page will be updated periodically as more results are obtained.

Below is a link to a more detailed version of the poster I presented at the 2003 American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting in Long Beach, CA. The poster discusses bias and absolute error statistics from NGM and AVN MOS forecasts for calendar year 2001 on a site-by-site basis.

MOS verification poster

Text files containing NGM and AVN bias and absolute error statistics for each site examined can be accessed below.

12Z Temps

NGM 12Z temp forecasts
AVN 12Z temp forecasts
00Z Temps

NGM 00Z temp forecasts
AVN 00Z temp forecasts
Maximum Temps

NGM max temp forecasts
AVN max temp forecasts
Minimum Temps

NGM min temp forecasts
AVN min temp forecasts