Spring2006 LFC Scores Through Week 5 Updated: Tue Apr 18 09:58:47 CDT 2006 Last Week's Verification: Day1 OKC: 64 91 0 0.00 Day2 OKC: 70 90 0 0.00 Day1 MCI: 68 90 0 0.00 Day2 MCI: 64 83 100 0.78 Week 5: Oklahoma City (OKC) Day 1 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Brett Roberts 1 0 1 0 0 1 8 8 6 0 22 Consensus 0 1 0 0 0 1 7 8 9 0 24 Andy Dean 3 2 3 0 0 5 7 9 9 1 26 NWS 0 2 2 0 0 4 9 11 6 1 27 Philip Warren 1 1 1 0 0 2 12 10 7 1 30 Nicole Light 1 1 1 0 0 2 16 5 7 2 30 Andrew Polk 1 1 0 0 0 1 7 8 10 5 30 Michael Imgarten 1 3 1 0 0 4 11 9 10 5 35 Jenifer Henslee 1 2 0 0 0 2 13 8 10 5 36 Ilya Neyman 1 3 0 0 0 3 15 19 3 0 37 NAM MOS 0 2 5 0 0 7 11 16 8 2 37 Joey Picca 1 0 1 0 0 1 13 9 10 5 37 NGM MOS 0 1 8 2 0 11 8 20 8 2 38 Model Guidance 0 1 5 1 0 7 10 19 8 2 39 Clayton Fain 1 1 0 0 0 1 15 10 10 5 40 GFS MOS 0 1 3 0 0 4 16 19 7 0 42 Erich Keithly 1 2 2 0 0 4 13 17 7 5 42 Shawn Maroney 1 1 2 0 0 3 14 7 19 5 45 Kiel Ortega 2 2 1 0 0 3 17 16 10 5 48 Rick Hluchan 1 0 1 0 0 1 9 27 10 2 48 Rachael Sigler 1 3 1 0 0 4 14 26 8 3 51 Matt Gaffner 1 0 2 0 0 2 13 24 12 2 51 Matt Kumjian 1 2 1 0 0 3 14 22 13 5 54 Josh Benefield 1 1 1 0 0 2 12 26 10 6 54 Carey Legett 1 2 3 0 0 5 13 24 13 5 55 Lamar Williams 1 2 1 0 0 3 23 21 10 1 55 Amanda Adams 1 2 1 0 0 3 19 24 11 2 56 Ben Walnick 1 1 0 0 0 1 25 23 10 5 63 Nick Nauslar 1 3 1 0 0 4 24 28 10 5 67 Christine Tannahill 1 2 1 0 0 3 20 32 10 5 67 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 3 1 0 0 4 34 21 13 1 69 AJ Ybarra 1 1 3 0 0 4 33 27 9 1 70 Kristen Hoisington 1 1 1 0 0 2 37 31 10 2 80 Tyler Dewvall 1 16 20 3 0 39 25 48 13 5 91 Chris Vagasky 1 16 20 3 0 39 26 47 13 5 91 Sean Luchs 1 16 20 3 0 39 29 46 13 5 93 Lance Maxwell 1 16 20 3 0 39 34 46 13 5 98 Michelle Stone 1 16 20 3 0 39 47 59 16 5 127 Climatology 0 16 20 3 0 39 49 70 19 5 143 Daniel Betten 1 16 20 3 0 39 49 70 19 5 143 Week 5: Oklahoma City (OKC) Day 2 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Clayton Fain 1 5 0 0 0 5 11 12 9 8 40 Nicole Light 1 9 0 0 0 9 19 6 7 10 42 Consensus 0 7 0 1 0 8 16 11 9 7 43 Michael Imgarten 1 6 0 0 0 6 14 4 10 15 43 Andy Dean 3 5 0 1 0 6 15 15 8 5 43 Joey Picca 1 6 0 0 0 6 13 12 8 10 43 NWS 0 5 1 3 0 9 16 16 7 5 44 Brett Roberts 1 7 3 2 0 12 15 16 10 6 47 Jenifer Henslee 1 5 1 0 0 6 16 14 7 11 48 Philip Warren 1 7 3 3 0 13 15 19 13 4 51 Shawn Maroney 1 8 7 0 0 15 19 11 9 12 51 GFS MOS 0 7 10 2 0 19 14 26 6 6 52 Andrew Polk 1 8 3 0 0 11 25 9 9 12 55 Kiel Ortega 2 5 2 0 0 7 17 15 10 15 57 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 10 0 0 0 10 34 8 9 8 59 Erich Keithly 1 6 5 0 0 11 14 21 13 15 63 AJ Ybarra 1 13 1 2 0 16 41 7 12 5 65 Josh Benefield 1 8 1 0 0 9 24 24 13 4 65 Matt Gaffner 1 6 1 2 0 9 29 25 9 4 67 Model Guidance 0 7 10 3 0 20 17 31 10 9 67 Ilya Neyman 1 6 2 2 0 10 30 25 9 4 68 NAM MOS 0 7 9 2 0 18 20 26 11 12 69 Christine Tannahill 1 7 5 0 0 12 20 24 10 15 69 Rachael Sigler 1 7 1 1 0 9 23 24 12 11 70 Nick Nauslar 1 3 0 0 0 3 29 27 10 4 70 Carey Legett 1 5 1 0 0 6 36 26 7 4 73 Matt Kumjian 1 10 1 0 0 11 34 28 7 4 73 Rick Hluchan 1 5 0 0 0 5 21 30 11 12 74 Lamar Williams 1 5 2 0 0 7 37 26 7 4 74 Amanda Adams 1 10 0 0 0 10 36 28 7 4 75 Kristen Hoisington 1 10 1 0 0 11 34 16 13 15 78 Ben Walnick 1 12 2 2 0 16 35 30 12 4 81 NGM MOS 0 7 11 4 0 22 20 43 11 12 86 Tyler Dewvall 1 22 19 3 0 44 39 46 13 4 102 Lance Maxwell 1 22 19 3 0 44 40 47 13 4 104 Sean Luchs 1 22 19 3 0 44 36 51 14 4 105 Chris Vagasky 1 22 19 3 0 44 40 52 13 4 109 Michelle Stone 1 22 19 3 0 44 44 47 16 4 111 Climatology 0 22 19 3 0 44 49 59 19 4 131 Daniel Betten 1 22 19 3 0 44 49 59 19 4 131 Week 5: Site 2 (Last Week = Kansas City, MO (MCI)) Day 1 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Joey Picca 1 0 0 0 0 0 16 10 9 2 37 Nicole Light 1 5 1 0 0 6 18 8 11 1 38 Michael Imgarten 1 1 0 0 0 1 19 9 6 4 38 Philip Warren 1 2 2 0 0 4 19 14 8 2 43 Andrew Polk 1 4 3 0 0 7 22 9 11 1 43 Brett Roberts 1 3 1 0 0 4 24 15 3 1 43 Consensus 0 3 2 0 0 5 24 12 8 0 44 Kiel Ortega 2 3 1 0 0 4 22 10 10 2 44 Shawn Maroney 1 7 1 0 0 8 28 7 9 0 44 Andy Dean 3 3 2 0 0 5 24 15 4 2 45 Erich Keithly 1 3 1 0 0 4 23 15 8 1 47 Christine Tannahill 1 2 2 0 0 4 21 6 10 10 47 Rachael Sigler 1 1 1 0 0 2 11 20 13 4 48 Rick Hluchan 1 3 2 0 0 5 14 23 7 4 48 Clayton Fain 1 3 1 0 0 4 22 12 14 1 49 GFS MOS 0 2 3 2 0 7 21 21 9 1 52 Model Guidance 0 3 4 2 0 9 22 21 11 0 54 Jenifer Henslee 1 3 2 0 0 5 21 8 13 12 54 NWS 0 3 3 3 0 9 21 17 14 3 55 NGM MOS 0 4 4 3 0 11 26 20 10 1 57 Carey Legett 1 2 1 0 0 3 30 24 3 1 58 NAM MOS 0 2 4 1 0 7 22 22 13 1 58 Josh Benefield 1 4 0 0 0 4 18 23 15 3 59 Matt Gaffner 1 4 2 0 0 6 32 24 4 1 61 Matt Kumjian 1 1 1 0 0 2 42 17 8 1 68 Ilya Neyman 1 3 4 0 0 7 38 27 3 1 69 Lamar Williams 1 1 3 0 0 4 47 16 6 2 71 Nick Nauslar 1 3 2 0 0 5 32 32 10 1 75 Amanda Adams 1 6 4 0 0 10 48 19 13 3 83 Ben Walnick 1 6 0 0 0 6 45 26 13 1 85 Kristen Hoisington 1 4 2 0 0 6 42 33 10 2 87 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 5 1 0 0 6 47 28 13 3 91 AJ Ybarra 1 7 4 0 0 11 43 42 8 2 95 Tyler Dewvall 1 25 25 4 0 54 58 47 14 1 120 Sean Luchs 1 25 25 4 0 54 57 48 15 1 121 Lance Maxwell 1 25 25 4 0 54 52 55 14 1 122 Chris Vagasky 1 25 25 4 0 54 56 52 14 1 123 Michelle Stone 1 25 25 4 0 54 66 69 17 1 153 Climatology 0 25 25 4 0 54 61 79 20 1 161 Daniel Betten 1 25 25 4 0 54 61 79 20 1 161 Week 5: Site 2 (Last Week = Kansas City, MO (MCI)) Day 2 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Michael Imgarten 1 0 3 8 8 19 15 9 8 8 40 Clayton Fain 1 1 2 5 8 16 14 14 9 8 45 Andy Dean 3 0 2 7 8 17 17 9 12 8 46 Brett Roberts 1 1 0 6 6 13 16 12 13 6 47 Philip Warren 1 2 1 6 7 16 20 11 10 7 48 Consensus 0 2 2 7 8 19 19 11 13 8 51 NWS 0 2 0 5 8 15 20 10 14 8 52 Andrew Polk 1 4 1 9 8 22 22 9 19 8 58 NAM MOS 0 2 5 4 11 22 16 20 11 11 58 Kiel Ortega 2 0 5 10 16 31 18 15 10 16 59 Jenifer Henslee 1 4 2 5 9 20 25 12 15 9 61 Joey Picca 1 2 2 10 16 30 21 10 15 16 62 Matt Gaffner 1 1 0 3 9 13 29 18 7 9 63 Nicole Light 1 5 4 7 11 27 22 16 17 11 66 Erich Keithly 1 2 1 8 7 18 22 22 16 7 67 Christine Tannahill 1 4 1 10 16 31 25 12 15 16 68 GFS MOS 0 1 5 4 10 20 17 22 20 10 69 Ilya Neyman 1 1 3 0 7 11 30 26 8 7 71 Carey Legett 1 1 3 0 10 14 30 24 8 10 72 Model Guidance 0 3 4 5 11 23 21 25 15 11 72 Shawn Maroney 1 4 6 10 16 36 21 12 28 16 77 Matt Kumjian 1 3 2 5 11 21 33 23 13 11 80 Rachael Sigler 1 1 2 7 11 21 34 26 13 11 84 Josh Benefield 1 2 4 8 6 20 35 30 13 6 84 Rick Hluchan 1 0 1 8 11 20 33 27 13 11 84 Lamar Williams 1 1 0 8 11 20 44 17 12 11 84 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 5 2 7 8 22 37 26 16 8 87 Amanda Adams 1 4 2 7 12 25 41 19 18 12 90 NGM MOS 0 7 2 6 11 26 33 35 14 11 93 Ben Walnick 1 8 3 7 8 26 39 33 17 8 97 AJ Ybarra 1 9 2 7 9 27 42 33 16 9 100 Kristen Hoisington 1 4 3 7 13 27 37 38 13 13 101 Nick Nauslar 1 1 1 10 16 28 38 31 21 16 106 Tyler Dewvall 1 21 18 6 6 51 57 46 12 6 121 Sean Luchs 1 21 18 6 6 51 54 45 17 6 122 Chris Vagasky 1 21 18 6 6 51 56 48 14 6 124 Lance Maxwell 1 21 18 6 6 51 53 53 22 21 149 Michelle Stone 1 21 18 6 6 51 65 64 15 6 150 Climatology 0 21 18 6 6 51 76 76 18 6 176 Daniel Betten 1 21 18 6 6 51 76 76 18 6 176 Week 5: Cumulative Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Michael Imgarten 1 10 4 8 8 30 59 31 34 32 156 Brett Roberts 1 11 5 8 6 30 63 51 32 13 159 Andy Dean 3 10 7 8 8 33 63 48 33 16 160 Consensus 0 13 4 8 8 33 66 42 39 15 162 Philip Warren 1 12 7 9 7 35 66 54 38 14 172 Clayton Fain 1 10 3 5 8 26 62 48 42 22 174 Nicole Light 1 20 6 7 11 44 75 35 42 24 176 NWS 0 12 6 11 8 37 66 54 41 17 178 Joey Picca 1 8 3 10 16 37 63 41 42 33 179 Andrew Polk 1 17 7 9 8 41 76 35 49 26 186 Jenifer Henslee 1 14 5 5 9 33 75 42 45 37 199 Kiel Ortega 2 10 9 10 16 45 74 56 40 38 208 GFS MOS 0 11 21 8 10 50 68 88 42 17 215 Shawn Maroney 1 20 16 10 16 62 82 37 65 33 217 Erich Keithly 1 13 9 8 7 37 72 75 44 28 219 NAM MOS 0 13 23 7 11 54 69 84 43 26 222 Model Guidance 0 14 23 11 11 59 70 96 44 22 232 Matt Gaffner 1 11 5 5 9 30 103 91 32 16 242 Ilya Neyman 1 13 9 2 7 31 113 97 23 12 245 Christine Tannahill 1 15 9 10 16 50 86 74 45 46 251 Rachael Sigler 1 12 5 8 11 36 82 96 46 29 253 Rick Hluchan 1 8 4 8 11 31 77 107 41 29 254 Carey Legett 1 10 8 0 10 28 109 98 31 20 258 Josh Benefield 1 15 6 8 6 35 89 103 51 19 262 NGM MOS 0 19 25 15 11 70 87 118 43 26 274 Matt Kumjian 1 16 5 5 11 37 123 90 41 21 275 Lamar Williams 1 9 6 8 11 34 151 80 35 18 284 Amanda Adams 1 22 7 7 12 48 144 90 49 21 304 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 23 4 7 8 42 152 83 51 20 306 Nick Nauslar 1 10 4 10 16 40 123 118 51 26 318 Ben Walnick 1 27 5 9 8 49 144 112 52 18 326 AJ Ybarra 1 30 10 9 9 58 159 109 45 17 330 Kristen Hoisington 1 19 7 7 13 46 150 118 46 32 346 Tyler Dewvall 1 84 82 16 6 188 179 187 52 16 434 Sean Luchs 1 84 82 16 6 188 176 190 59 16 441 Chris Vagasky 1 84 82 16 6 188 178 199 54 16 447 Lance Maxwell 1 84 82 16 6 188 179 201 62 31 473 Michelle Stone 1 84 82 16 6 188 222 239 64 16 541 Climatology 0 84 82 16 6 188 235 284 76 16 611 Daniel Betten 1 84 82 16 6 188 235 284 76 16 611