Spring2006 LFC Scores Through Week 7 Updated: Mon May 1 09:42:15 CDT 2006 Last Week's Verification: Day1 OKC: 61 68 100 1.41 Day2 OKC: 52 68 100 1.01 Day1 GGG: 60 78 0 0.00 Day2 GGG: 61 79 100 0.94 Week 7: Oklahoma City (OKC) Day 1 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Brett Roberts 1 3 3 0 1 7 12 13 7 1 33 Andy Dean 3 5 3 0 2 10 15 13 11 3 42 Consensus 0 6 5 1 3 15 13 14 14 3 44 Michael Imgarten 1 6 3 0 2 11 18 12 11 7 48 NAM MOS 0 3 1 1 1 6 15 19 13 3 50 NWS 0 6 5 2 3 16 20 16 11 4 51 Model Guidance 0 4 1 1 0 6 14 23 12 2 51 Philip Warren 1 6 7 3 2 18 21 18 13 3 55 NGM MOS 0 4 3 1 2 10 12 28 11 4 55 Ilya Neyman 1 3 4 0 3 10 19 23 10 3 55 Andrew Polk 1 7 5 0 2 14 19 13 19 7 58 Clayton Fain 1 6 3 0 2 11 24 13 15 7 59 GFS MOS 0 6 5 0 3 14 23 27 9 3 62 Rick Hluchan 1 8 3 0 0 11 18 32 12 2 64 Nicole Light 1 10 7 2 11 30 27 13 12 13 65 Erich Keithly 1 7 3 1 1 12 27 24 8 6 65 Matt Gaffner 1 6 5 0 2 13 22 30 13 4 69 Jenifer Henslee 1 9 6 7 8 30 25 15 17 13 70 Joey Picca 1 4 8 0 7 19 18 19 20 17 74 Shawn Maroney 1 7 7 0 3 17 24 15 28 8 75 Matt Kumjian 1 7 7 0 6 20 23 29 13 11 76 Josh Benefield 1 7 4 1 7 19 23 33 13 13 82 Amanda Adams 1 6 5 0 11 22 29 30 13 13 85 AJ Ybarra 1 4 5 0 4 13 38 33 9 5 85 Kiel Ortega 2 5 5 0 0 10 25 26 20 15 86 Lamar Williams 1 8 7 5 2 22 32 31 20 3 86 Rachael Sigler 1 6 8 5 11 30 22 36 18 14 90 Christine Tannahill 1 3 2 0 11 16 27 37 10 16 90 Kristen Hoisington 1 4 4 5 2 15 45 35 15 4 99 Carey Legett 1 9 6 7 8 30 27 30 30 18 105 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 6 7 5 13 31 40 31 21 14 106 Nick Nauslar 1 6 4 0 7 17 32 36 20 25 113 Ben Walnick 1 3 7 3 7 20 30 35 23 26 114 Tyler Dewvall 1 9 6 7 8 30 37 62 23 13 135 Chris Vagasky 1 9 6 7 8 30 38 61 23 13 135 Sean Luchs 1 9 6 7 8 30 41 60 23 13 137 Lance Maxwell 1 9 6 7 8 30 46 60 23 13 142 Michelle Stone 1 9 6 7 8 30 59 73 26 13 171 Climatology 0 9 6 7 8 30 61 84 29 13 187 Daniel Betten 1 9 6 7 8 30 61 84 29 13 187 Week 7: Oklahoma City (OKC) Day 2 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot NWS 0 0 3 2 1 6 21 20 9 6 56 Andy Dean 3 1 2 2 4 9 20 18 10 9 57 Clayton Fain 1 5 2 0 2 9 23 17 9 10 59 GFS MOS 0 1 1 2 0 4 15 30 9 6 60 Consensus 0 2 3 2 3 10 24 16 11 10 61 Michael Imgarten 1 1 2 1 8 12 21 7 11 23 62 Joey Picca 1 5 1 0 8 14 26 13 8 18 65 Nicole Light 1 4 1 4 7 16 29 9 11 17 66 Kiel Ortega 2 1 2 0 0 3 18 25 10 15 68 Philip Warren 1 1 4 5 4 14 22 23 18 8 71 Brett Roberts 1 0 6 1 7 14 22 25 11 13 71 Shawn Maroney 1 2 4 1 8 15 26 16 10 20 72 Andrew Polk 1 2 3 1 6 12 32 13 10 18 73 Jenifer Henslee 1 0 7 7 5 19 22 21 14 16 73 Model Guidance 0 0 3 2 0 5 20 38 12 9 79 Rachael Sigler 1 2 0 1 3 6 27 27 13 14 81 Matt Gaffner 1 4 4 0 1 9 38 29 9 5 81 Ilya Neyman 1 4 3 0 1 8 38 29 9 5 81 Christine Tannahill 1 2 4 0 0 6 27 29 10 15 81 Erich Keithly 1 4 1 6 4 15 21 23 19 19 82 Nick Nauslar 1 6 2 0 2 10 37 31 10 6 84 NAM MOS 0 0 6 2 1 9 24 37 13 13 87 Matt Kumjian 1 2 1 0 8 11 41 29 7 12 89 Rick Hluchan 1 7 3 0 1 11 32 33 11 13 89 Josh Benefield 1 5 2 4 5 16 37 27 17 9 90 Lamar Williams 1 7 3 4 0 14 45 33 11 4 93 AJ Ybarra 1 3 4 4 2 13 51 21 16 7 95 Carey Legett 1 0 7 7 5 19 41 34 14 9 98 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 2 3 10 18 33 39 15 19 26 99 NGM MOS 0 0 3 1 0 4 26 50 12 12 100 Ben Walnick 1 2 5 0 1 8 47 39 12 5 103 Amanda Adams 1 1 4 2 11 18 49 34 9 15 107 Kristen Hoisington 1 1 0 6 11 18 47 17 19 26 109 Tyler Dewvall 1 0 7 7 5 19 41 67 23 9 140 Lance Maxwell 1 0 7 7 5 19 42 68 23 9 142 Sean Luchs 1 0 7 7 5 19 38 72 24 9 143 Chris Vagasky 1 0 7 7 5 19 42 73 23 9 147 Michelle Stone 1 0 7 7 5 19 46 68 26 9 149 Climatology 0 0 7 7 5 19 51 80 29 9 169 Daniel Betten 1 0 7 7 5 19 51 80 29 9 169 Week 7: Site 2 (Last Week = Longview, TX (GGG)) Day 1 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Michael Imgarten 1 4 3 7 0 14 26 12 14 9 61 Andy Dean 3 1 2 7 0 10 28 18 13 5 64 Brett Roberts 1 1 0 5 0 6 30 16 13 7 66 Andrew Polk 1 2 1 9 0 12 27 13 20 7 67 Consensus 0 2 2 7 0 11 29 16 20 5 70 Clayton Fain 1 2 3 5 0 10 28 16 22 5 71 Carey Legett 1 2 0 3 0 5 35 26 6 6 73 Kiel Ortega 2 2 1 10 9 22 26 12 20 16 74 Nicole Light 1 3 0 10 12 25 21 8 26 20 75 Philip Warren 1 4 5 7 0 16 27 20 22 8 77 Josh Benefield 1 1 1 4 0 6 26 25 21 5 77 Joey Picca 1 4 1 10 14 29 25 13 19 21 78 Rachael Sigler 1 2 2 3 0 7 17 25 24 13 79 NWS 0 4 1 8 0 13 28 18 27 7 80 Model Guidance 0 0 1 7 0 8 26 23 24 7 80 NAM MOS 0 2 0 7 0 9 27 24 25 4 80 GFS MOS 0 1 3 7 0 11 25 25 24 14 88 Jenifer Henslee 1 2 0 3 0 5 23 11 26 28 88 Lamar Williams 1 2 3 7 0 12 52 21 15 4 92 Shawn Maroney 1 4 1 10 18 33 40 10 20 23 93 Christine Tannahill 1 1 8 5 0 14 25 17 25 26 93 NGM MOS 0 1 1 8 0 10 32 24 24 14 94 Erich Keithly 1 4 1 10 18 33 32 16 26 24 98 Ilya Neyman 1 1 5 10 8 24 44 35 13 10 102 Ben Walnick 1 3 1 6 0 10 49 27 22 4 102 Rick Hluchan 1 3 3 10 19 35 24 27 24 28 103 Matt Gaffner 1 4 2 10 10 26 41 28 22 20 111 Kristen Hoisington 1 2 1 5 0 8 47 36 20 11 114 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 0 1 5 0 6 51 30 24 10 115 Amanda Adams 1 2 1 8 0 11 52 22 29 16 119 AJ Ybarra 1 2 4 4 0 10 46 47 20 9 122 Matt Kumjian 1 2 0 10 19 31 44 18 28 36 126 Nick Nauslar 1 0 1 10 13 24 37 36 30 30 133 Tyler Dewvall 1 2 0 3 0 5 61 50 25 4 140 Sean Luchs 1 2 0 3 0 5 60 51 26 4 141 Lance Maxwell 1 2 0 3 0 5 55 58 25 4 142 Chris Vagasky 1 2 0 3 0 5 59 55 25 4 143 Michelle Stone 1 2 0 3 0 5 69 72 28 4 173 Climatology 0 2 0 3 0 5 64 82 31 4 181 Daniel Betten 1 2 0 3 0 5 64 82 31 4 181 Week 7: Site 2 (Last Week = Longview, TX (GGG)) Day 2 Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Michael Imgarten 1 1 4 1 0 6 16 16 9 8 49 Clayton Fain 1 2 5 0 1 8 17 22 9 9 57 Brett Roberts 1 3 3 0 0 6 21 18 13 6 58 Andy Dean 3 3 5 0 3 11 21 15 12 11 59 NWS 0 1 3 1 0 5 22 16 15 8 61 Philip Warren 1 1 5 4 3 13 22 17 14 10 63 Consensus 0 2 4 2 2 10 24 16 15 10 65 Matt Gaffner 1 0 4 0 1 5 31 22 7 10 70 Kiel Ortega 2 1 5 0 3 9 22 22 10 19 73 NAM MOS 0 3 4 2 2 11 20 27 13 13 73 Erich Keithly 1 1 3 2 1 7 23 25 18 8 74 Andrew Polk 1 5 4 1 6 16 27 15 20 14 76 Ilya Neyman 1 1 4 0 0 5 32 30 8 7 77 Joey Picca 1 3 4 0 6 13 26 14 15 22 77 Jenifer Henslee 1 2 0 7 4 13 31 12 22 13 78 Christine Tannahill 1 1 7 0 1 9 27 19 15 17 78 GFS MOS 0 2 4 3 2 11 21 29 23 12 85 Carey Legett 1 2 0 7 4 13 32 26 15 14 87 Nicole Light 1 9 2 1 8 20 32 21 18 19 90 Model Guidance 0 2 4 2 1 9 25 38 17 12 92 Matt Kumjian 1 7 3 0 4 14 40 26 13 15 94 Rick Hluchan 1 2 4 0 1 7 38 32 13 12 95 Lamar Williams 1 1 4 3 3 11 45 23 15 14 97 Shawn Maroney 1 7 6 0 1 14 36 20 28 17 101 Josh Benefield 1 1 6 1 3 11 41 39 14 9 103 Rachael Sigler 1 4 2 2 9 17 44 28 15 20 107 NGM MOS 0 2 7 1 7 17 39 44 15 18 116 Nick Nauslar 1 3 4 0 1 8 45 35 21 17 118 Kristen Hoisington 1 5 2 3 0 10 51 42 16 13 122 AJ Ybarra 1 8 5 4 0 17 57 41 20 9 127 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 6 4 7 13 30 45 39 23 21 128 Ben Walnick 1 9 5 2 3 19 59 42 19 11 131 Amanda Adams 1 2 3 10 17 32 52 24 28 29 133 Tyler Dewvall 1 2 0 7 4 13 61 56 21 10 148 Sean Luchs 1 2 0 7 4 13 58 55 26 10 149 Chris Vagasky 1 2 0 7 4 13 60 58 23 10 151 Lance Maxwell 1 2 0 7 4 13 57 63 31 25 176 Michelle Stone 1 2 0 7 4 13 69 74 24 10 177 Climatology 0 2 0 7 4 13 80 86 27 10 203 Daniel Betten 1 2 0 7 4 13 80 86 27 10 203 Week 7: Cumulative Scores Last week's error points Cumulative Error Points Name Cl Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Lo Hi POP QPF Tot Michael Imgarten 1 12 12 9 10 43 81 47 45 47 220 Andy Dean 3 10 12 9 9 40 84 64 46 28 222 Brett Roberts 1 7 12 6 8 33 85 72 44 27 228 Consensus 0 12 14 12 8 46 90 62 60 28 240 Clayton Fain 1 15 13 5 5 38 92 68 55 31 246 NWS 0 11 12 13 4 40 91 70 62 25 248 Philip Warren 1 12 21 19 9 61 92 78 67 29 266 Andrew Polk 1 16 13 11 14 54 105 54 69 46 274 NAM MOS 0 8 11 12 4 35 86 107 64 33 290 Joey Picca 1 16 14 10 35 75 95 59 62 78 294 GFS MOS 0 10 13 12 5 40 84 111 65 35 295 Nicole Light 1 26 10 17 38 91 109 51 67 69 296 Kiel Ortega 2 9 13 10 12 44 91 85 60 65 301 Model Guidance 0 6 9 12 1 28 85 122 65 30 302 Jenifer Henslee 1 13 13 24 17 67 101 59 79 70 309 Ilya Neyman 1 9 16 10 12 47 133 117 40 25 315 Erich Keithly 1 16 8 19 24 67 103 88 71 57 319 Matt Gaffner 1 14 15 10 14 53 132 109 51 39 331 Shawn Maroney 1 20 18 11 30 79 126 61 86 68 341 Christine Tannahill 1 7 21 5 12 45 106 102 60 74 342 Rick Hluchan 1 20 13 10 21 64 112 124 60 55 351 Josh Benefield 1 14 13 10 15 52 127 124 65 36 352 Rachael Sigler 1 14 12 11 23 60 110 116 70 61 357 Carey Legett 1 13 13 24 17 67 135 116 65 47 363 NGM MOS 0 7 14 11 9 41 109 146 62 48 365 Lamar Williams 1 18 17 19 5 59 174 108 61 25 368 Matt Kumjian 1 18 11 10 37 76 148 102 61 74 385 AJ Ybarra 1 17 18 12 6 53 192 142 65 30 429 Amanda Adams 1 11 13 20 39 83 182 110 79 73 444 Kristen Hoisington 1 12 7 19 13 51 190 130 70 54 444 Angelyn Kolodziej 1 14 15 27 44 100 175 115 87 71 448 Nick Nauslar 1 15 11 10 23 59 151 138 81 78 448 Ben Walnick 1 17 18 11 11 57 185 143 76 46 450 Tyler Dewvall 1 13 13 24 17 67 200 235 92 36 563 Sean Luchs 1 13 13 24 17 67 197 238 99 36 570 Chris Vagasky 1 13 13 24 17 67 199 247 94 36 576 Lance Maxwell 1 13 13 24 17 67 200 249 102 51 602 Michelle Stone 1 13 13 24 17 67 243 287 104 36 670 Climatology 0 13 13 24 17 67 256 332 116 36 740 Daniel Betten 1 13 13 24 17 67 256 332 116 36 740